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amakuru
Amakuru ya Hysun

Incamake yimiterere yisoko muri 2025 no gutegura gahunda yubucuruzi bwa kontineri

Bya Hysun, Byanditswe Ukuboza-15-2024

Mu gihe isoko rya kontineri yo muri Amerika rifite ihungabana ry’ibiciro ndetse n’ubushobozi bw’amahoro y’ubucuruzi n’imihindagurikire y’amabwiriza bigenda byiyongera bitewe n’uko bishoboka ko Trump yongeye gutorwa, imbaraga z’isoko rya kontineri ziragenda ziyongera, cyane cyane bitewe n’igabanuka rikabije ry’ibiciro by’ibicuruzwa by’Ubushinwa. Iyi miterere igenda ihinduka yerekana abacuruzi bafite kontineri bafite idirishya ryibikorwa byo kubyaza umusaruro uko isoko ryifashe ubu no gukomeza gukurikiranira hafi imigendekere yisoko iteganijwe mu 2025, bityo bagahindura inyungu zabo.

Mu gihe ihindagurika ry’isoko, abacuruzi ba kontineri bafite ingamba zitandukanye zagenewe kuzamura inyungu zabo. Muri ibyo, icyitegererezo "kugura-kwimura-kugurisha" kigaragara nkuburyo bukomeye cyane. Izi ngamba zishingiye ku gukoresha itandukaniro ry’ibiciro ku masoko atandukanye: kugura kontineri ku masoko aho ibiciro biri hasi, kwinjiza amafaranga binyuze mu bukode bwa kontineri, hanyuma ugashora imari ahantu hasabwa cyane kugirango umanure imitungo ku nyungu.

Muri raporo yacu ya buri kwezi iri imbere, tuzacukumbura mu buryo bworoshye bwo "kugura-kwimura-kugurisha", gutandukanya ibice byingenzi nk'ibiciro byo kugura ibikoresho, amafaranga yo gukodesha, n'indangagaciro. Byongeye kandi, tuzasuzuma akamaro k'ibipimo byerekana ibiciro bya Axel (xCPSI) nk'igikoresho cyo gufata ibyemezo, kiyobora abacuruzi mu guhitamo ingamba zifatika kandi zimenyeshejwe amakuru muri uru ruganda rufite imbaraga.

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Ibiciro bya kontineri y'Ubushinwa na Amerika

Kuva muri Kamena uyu mwaka, ibiciro by’inama y’abaminisitiri bifite uburebure bwa metero 40, ibiciro ku isoko ry’Ubushinwa byagaragaje ko bikomeje kumanuka. Abacuruzi bashaka kugura kontineri mubushinwa bagomba gukoresha amahirwe agezweho.

Ibinyuranye n'ibyo, ibiciro bya kontineri muri Amerika byakomeje kwiyongera kuva muri Nzeri uyu mwaka, ahanini biterwa na politiki ya politiki ndetse n'izamuka ry'ubukungu bw'imbere mu gihugu. Byongeye kandi, igipimo cy’ibiciro bya Axel muri Amerika cyerekana ibyiringiro by’isoko no kwiyongera gushidikanya, kandi izamuka ry’ibiciro rishobora gukomeza kugeza mu 2025

Amafaranga ya kontineri yo muri Amerika SOC arahagaze

Muri kamena 2024, amafaranga ya kontineri ya SOC (amafaranga yatanzwe nabakoresha kontineri kubafite kontineri) kumuhanda wubushinwa na Amerika yageze murwego rwo hejuru hanyuma buhoro buhoro asubira inyuma. Ingaruka zibi, inyungu yubucuruzi "kugura kontineri-kwimura-kugurisha kontineri" yagabanutse. Amakuru yerekana ko amafaranga yubukode agezweho yahagaze neza.

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Incamake y'ibihe byifashe ku isoko

Mu mezi make ashize, impinduka zidahwema kugabanuka kumafaranga asanzwe akora (SOC) yatumye uburyo bwo "kugura-kugurisha-kugurisha-kugurisha" uburyo budashoboka muburyo bwo kunguka muri Kanama. Ariko, hamwe n’amafaranga aherutse guhagarara neza, abacuruzi ba kontineri ubu bahabwa amahirwe akwiye yo kubyaza umusaruro isoko.

Muri rusange, abacuruzi bahitamo kugura kontineri mu Bushinwa hanyuma bakayimura bakayigurisha muri Amerika bahagaze ku nyungu nini, ukurikije uko isoko ryifashe ubu.

Gutezimbere ingamba zifatika ni ukureba ibizagerwaho mu mezi 2-3 ari imbere, iki kikaba ari igihe cyo gutambuka mu rugendo rwa kontineri kuva mu Bushinwa kugera muri Amerika. Muguhuza nibiteganijwe, ingamba zo gutsinda zirazamuka cyane.

Ingamba ziteganijwe ni ugushora muri kontineri ubungubu, kubyohereza muri Amerika, hanyuma ukabigurisha ku giciro cyiganje nyuma y'amezi 2-3. Nubwo ubu buryo busanzwe butekerezwa kandi bwuzuyemo ibyago, bufite isezerano ryinyungu nini. Kugirango bigende neza, abacuruzi ba kontineri bagomba kumva neza ibyateganijwe kubiciro byisoko, bishyigikiwe namakuru akomeye.

Ni muri urwo rwego, igipimo cy’ibiciro bya A-SJ kigaragara nkigikoresho ntagereranywa, giha abacuruzi ubushishozi bukenewe kugirango bafate ibyemezo neza kandi bagende neza kubibazo byisoko rya kontineri bafite ikizere.

Isoko ryo kureba 2025: Guhindagurika kw'isoko n'amahirwe

Mugihe hageze impinga yigihe, ibyifuzo bya kontineri muri Amerika biteganijwe ko byiyongera. Abacuruzi ba kontineri nka HYSUN bagomba guteganya mbere no kugura cyangwa kubika ibarura kugirango bategure izamuka ryibiciro biri imbere. By'umwihariko, abacuruzi bakeneye kwita cyane ku gihe cyabanjirije iserukiramuco ry’impeshyi 2025, rihurirana n’irahira rya Trump no gushyira mu bikorwa politiki y’ibiciro.

Ikibazo cya geopolitiki kidashidikanywaho, nk'amatora yo muri Amerika ndetse n'ibibera mu burasirazuba bwo hagati, bizakomeza kugira ingaruka ku byoherezwa ku isi ndetse n’ibiciro bya kontineri muri Amerika. HYSUN ikeneye kwitondera cyane izo dinamike kugirango ibashe guhindura ingamba zayo mugihe gikwiye.

Mu rwego rwo kwita ku biciro bya kontineri yo mu gihugu, abacuruzi barashobora guhura n’uburyo bwiza bwo kugura niba ibiciro bya kontineri mu Bushinwa bihagaze neza. Ariko, impinduka mubisabwa zirashobora kandi kuzana ibibazo bishya. HYSUN igomba gukoresha ubuhanga bwayo nubushishozi bwisoko kugirango yumve imigendekere yisoko no gufata ibyemezo byuzuye. Binyuze muri iri sesengura ryuzuye, HYSUN irashobora guhanura neza imigendekere yisoko no guhuza ibicuruzwa byayo hamwe ningamba zo kugurisha kugirango yunguke byinshi.

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